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The Cost of Home Ownership

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The last three years have seen a significant drop in the cost of housing in the United States; bringing prices back down from once astronomical levels. The enormous increase in housing prices for the past three decades has greatly outstripped the rise in the median annual income. This has made the price of housing as a percentage of annual income rise to new heights. In 2005, that percentage peaked at 473 percent before falling sharply when the credit crisis began in 2007. In 1975, the median annual income was about $12,000. The median home sale price was about $35,000. That made median home prices 297 percent of the median income.

In 1980, the median annual income was about $18,000. The median home sale price was about $60,000. That made median home prices 350 percent of the median income. In 1985, the median income was about $23,000. The median home sale price was about $75,000. That made median home prices 320 percent of the median income. Black Monday occurred on October 19, 1987, and incomes and home prices continued to rise. In 1990 the median income was about $30,000. The median home sale price was about $90,000. That made median home prices 307 percent of the median income.

In 1995 the median income was about $34,000. The median home sale price was about $110,000. That made median home prices 324 percent of the median income. In 2000 the median income was about $42,000. The median home sale price was about $137,000. That made median home prices 331 percent of the median income. In 2005 the median income was about $46,000. The median home sale price was about $220,000. That made median home prices 473 percent of the median income. The recession began on December 7, 2007 and housing prices quickly fell. In 2009 the median income was about $48,000. The median home sale price was about $170,000. That made median home prices 363 percent of the median income.

Average 30-Year Fixed Rate

The average 30-year fixed rate has also risen and fallen with the economic times. In 1975, the average 30-year fixed rate was about 9 percent. In 1980, the average 30-year fixed rate was about 14 percent. In 1985, the average 30-year fixed rate was about 12 percent. In 1990, the average 30-year fixed rate was about 10 percent. In 1995, the average 30-year fixed rate was about 8 percent. In 2000, the average 30-year fixed rate was about 8 percent. In 2005, the average 30-year fixed rate was about 6 percent. In 2009, the average 30-year fixed rate was about 5 percent.

Monthly Income vs. Monthly Mortgage

In 1975, the housing debt-to-income ratio was 23.21 percent. In 1980, the housing debt-to-income ratio was 39.26 percent. In 1985, the housing debt-to-income ratio was 32.59 percent. In 1990, the housing debt-to-income ratio was 26.17 percent. In 1995, the housing debt-to-income ratio was 22.69 percent. In 2000, the housing debt-to-income ratio was 23.43 percent. In 2005, the housing debt-to-income ratio was 26.83 percent. In 2009, the housing debt-to-income ratio was 18.84 percent.

Posted by: cbennett     Tags: , , ,

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  • LoanModificationExpert
    Nice to see this graph..I know there'll be a solution for mortgage problems.
  • I'd love to see a chart of monthly income to monthly mortgage payment. Last chart has the data, but the scale is to dollars. A percent ratio scale would help people understand how it was easy to miss the bubble if you weren't looking just right.
  • Trudy
    the graph seems inaccurate .. in 1975 with an income of $32,000, our house in the most costly town of CT cost $70k. The same (SMALL) house now valued at $800k would require a comparable income of over $160k .. not a bargain!
  • Norman
    Tell Barry that 1) As he has pointed out in the past the cost of renting is a fictious number as home owners are asked what they'd rent their house for which, of course, very few actually do. And 2) The Fed has housing value numbers in their recently produced 'flow of funds' report.

    As for me, the mortgage payment data puts all of the house price vs various economic numbers to shame. Bully for you!!
  • I'd love to see the same graph for the United Kingdom. My guess is it would not paint nearly as rosy a picture of the current homeowning situation.
  • Great chart -- I would have liked to see 2 additional data points:

    1) Cost of owning vs renting

    2) Capitalization of Housing as a % of GDP
  • NoDuh
    This is bunk! What about the government artificially inflating demand through the CRA? Houses aren't more affordable - THEY'RE TOO EXPENSIVE! Any economist worht their salt will tell you housing should be 25% of your take home pay or less. But Freddie and Fannie keep artificially propping the price through "Stimulus" - through "Community Reinvestment Act" (CRA) and an 8K "tax incentive for first time buyer". No money down! Do you think that has SOMETHING to do with artificial demand?

    Now Freddie and Fannie own over 50% of ALL US home loans! That means the government - you and I the tax payer - are on the hook for this boondoggle. Freddie and Fannie are Government entities - they caused the bubble to begin with! Note the source on the bottom right of the graph.
  • Eric Brown
    I love looking at this stuff. But would ALWAYS appreciate things presented on a logarithmic scale.
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The Cost of Home Ownership